Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.418495 0.493101 0.575298 0.672324 0.783454 0.906484 1.052715
2024-10-13 0.296409 0.392506 0.509248 0.660388 0.849635 1.077420 1.370839
2024-10-20 0.220072 0.322985 0.459070 0.649613 0.906485 1.237346 1.691690
2024-10-27 0.170155 0.273767 0.421417 0.642638 0.960131 1.392813 2.018943
2024-11-03 0.139955 0.244360 0.403246 0.655642 1.037652 1.583417 2.408104
2024-11-10 0.116087 0.218736 0.384705 0.662723 1.104000 1.761251 2.792619
2024-11-17 0.096864 0.196193 0.366184 0.665271 1.161037 1.927722 3.172085
2024-11-24 0.082968 0.179782 0.354407 0.675722 1.229575 2.115283 3.596337
2024-12-01 0.070606 0.163447 0.339655 0.678095 1.283472 2.282484 3.999992
2024-12-08 0.057381 0.142389 0.312517 0.654011 1.288290 2.368666 4.278279
2024-12-15 0.051598 0.135681 0.311493 0.677346 1.377878 2.601786 4.813399
2024-12-22 0.045985 0.128098 0.307369 0.693770 1.455764 2.819901 5.337404
2024-12-29 0.043011 0.126328 0.315524 0.736462 1.588725 3.147859 6.079297
2025-01-05 0.036544 0.114481 0.300059 0.728888 1.624642 3.305593 6.535606
2025-01-12 0.030976 0.103541 0.284688 0.719206 1.654918 3.454716 6.986371
2025-01-19 0.026468 0.094294 0.271575 0.712378 1.689615 3.613714 7.464551
2025-01-26 0.023704 0.089386 0.268177 0.726932 1.769940 3.865321 8.130560
2025-02-02 0.020989 0.083891 0.262310 0.734811 1.836432 4.094202 8.767412
2025-02-09 0.018431 0.078170 0.254815 0.737650 1.891849 4.304488 9.380929
2025-02-16 0.016516 0.074079 0.251037 0.749113 1.967420 4.560398 10.098459
2025-02-23 0.014551 0.069211 0.244171 0.751719 2.022726 4.777957 10.752351
2025-03-02 0.012041 0.061422 0.227193 0.725348 2.007298 4.845618 11.108020
2025-03-09 0.011194 0.059992 0.229354 0.750903 2.118474 5.190515 12.049361